After digging around for a while, it looks like this is not possible. The closest I got was an OSL script using traceset to find the value, but it turns out that Blender OSL doesn't implement traceset.

I did come up with a workaround that more or less does what I want:

1. Create an additional vertex group (I called it water.edge) on the emitter and assign all vertices to it.
2. Add a Vertex Weight Mix modifier to the emitter, which copies the original water vertex group to water.edge.
3. Below that add a Vertex Weight Edit modifier that edits water.edge and applies a custom falloff curve that starts at 0, rises to 1 then falls back to 0. This makes water.edge have its highest values where the water values are intermediate.
4. Create a new particle system yellow grass, and use separate yellow grass variant particles.
5. Use the water.edge vertex group to control the density and length of the yellow grass particle system.

Downside is the texture doesn't "blend" from one region to another, but at least I can get dry grass where I want it.

[edit] There is a proper solution which I'll add as a separate answer, but since this technique is different enough to have its own uses (like if you want different grass models at the edges) I'll leave it here.

After digging around for a while, it looks like this is not possible. The closest I got was an OSL script using traceset to find the value, but it turns out that Blender OSL doesn't implement traceset.

I did come up with a workaround that more or less does what I want:

1. Create an additional vertex group (I called it water.edge) on the emitter and assign all vertices to it.
2. Add a Vertex Weight Mix modifier to the emitter, which copies the original water vertex group to water.edge.
3. Below that add a Vertex Weight Edit modifier that edits water.edge and applies a custom falloff curve that starts at 0, rises to 1 then falls back to 0. This makes water.edge have its highest values where the water values are intermediate.
4. Create a new particle system yellow grass, and use separate yellow grass variant particles.
5. Use the water.edge vertex group to control the density and length of the yellow grass particle system.

Downside is the texture doesn't "blend" from one region to another, but at least I can get dry grass where I want it.

After digging around for a while, it looks like this is not possible. The closest I got was an OSL script using traceset to find the value, but it turns out that Blender OSL doesn't implement traceset.

I did come up with a workaround that more or less does what I want:

1. Create an additional vertex group (I called it water.edge) on the emitter and assign all vertices to it.
2. Add a Vertex Weight Mix modifier to the emitter, which copies the original water vertex group to water.edge.
3. Below that add a Vertex Weight Edit modifier that edits water.edge and applies a custom falloff curve that starts at 0, rises to 1 then falls back to 0. This makes water.edge have its highest values where the water values are intermediate.
4. Create a new particle system yellow grass, and use separate yellow grass variant particles.
5. Use the water.edge vertex group to control the density and length of the yellow grass particle system.

Downside is the texture doesn't "blend" from one region to another, but at least I can get dry grass where I want it.

After digging around for a while, it looks like this is not possible. The closest I got was an OSL script using traceset to find the value, but it turns out that Blender OSL doesn't implement traceset.

I did come up with a workaround that more or less does what I want:

1. Create an additional vertex group (I called it water.edge) on the emitter and assign all vertices to it.
2. Add a Vertex Weight Mix modifier to the emitter, which copies the original water vertex group to water.edge.
3. Below that add a Vertex Weight Edit modifier that edits water.edge and applies a custom falloff curve that starts at 0, rises to 1 then falls back to 0. This makes water.edge have its highest values where the water values are intermediate.
4. Create a new particle system yellow grass, and use separate yellow grass variant particles.
5. Use the water.edge vertex group to control the density and length of the yellow grass particle system.

Downside is the texture doesn't "blend" from one region to another, but at least I can get dry grass where I want it.